PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Kimi Antonelli 32.7%+0.5ptLeader of 22 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$93.4K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 15, 26, 11:31 AM UTCSep 20, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
PolymarketSpanish Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish
PolymarketSpanish Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
PolymarketF1: Who will win the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix)?
Manifold MarketsSpanish Grand Prix Qualifying Session (Q3): Pole Position
KalshiSpanish Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers
KalshiRules
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026.
- If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race.
- The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
- Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
- The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Spanish Grand Prix Winner · Andrea Kimi Antonelli 34%
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner?
- Polymarket prices Kimi Antonelli at 33% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner resolve?
- Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 13, 2026.
- Where else is Spanish Grand Prix: Driver Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.