F1: Who will win the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix)?
20.6 pts (24h)SportsMotorsportOne-Off4dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes-AMG Petronas) 33.1%+20.6ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+20.6 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 11:52 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the driver who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix) at Madrid, scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined using the official classification published by the FIA on the official Formula 1 results website or via the FIA Document Gateway.
- Post-Race Penalties: The market will resolve based on the final classification after any immediate post-race investigations and penalties applied by the stewards during the race weekend.
- Subsequent appeals or judicial decisions made after the race weekend has concluded will not be considered.
- Postponement/Cancellation: If the race is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve when the race is completed, provided it takes place before December 31, 2026.
Open markets
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- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
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- 24h Vol
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- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
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- Total Vol
- $2.5M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for F1: Who will win the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix)??
- Manifold Markets prices 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes-AMG Petronas) at 33% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does F1: Who will win the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix)? resolve?
- F1: Who will win the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix)? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is F1: Who will win the 2026 TAG Heuer Gran Premio de España (Spanish Grand Prix)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria