GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Oklahoma City wins by more than 8.5 points
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 4:22 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Oklahoma City wins by more than 8.5 points36%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 9.5 points32%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 11.5 points26.5%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 4.5 points50.5%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 2.5 points58%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 7.5 points39%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 5.5 points47.5%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 6.5 points42%
Denver wins by more than 18.5 points0%
Oklahoma City wins by more than 8.5 pointsWon
Oklahoma City wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 11.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 29.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 33.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 14.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 12.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 15.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Oklahoma City wins by more than 19.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Oklahoma City in the entire NBA game between Denver and Oklahoma City scheduled for 2026-10-22 at 8:30 p.m. CT is above 29.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Oklahoma City's score minus Denver's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NBA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NBA_Spread_Class_98459f6c-7941-4c33-9bc5-7202c53df230.pdf).
