GeminiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Kansas City wins by more than 14.5 points
Resolved: Sep 15, 2026, 3:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 15, 2026, 3:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Kansas City wins by more than 9.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 6.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 10.5 points100%
Denver wins by more than 1.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 2.5 points0%
Kansas City wins by more than 13.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 7.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 1.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 5.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 2.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 3.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 4.5 points100%
Denver wins by more than 13.5 points0%
Kansas City wins by more than 14.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 16.5 points100%
Kansas City wins by more than 17.5 points100%
Denver wins by more than 9.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 3.5 points0%
Kansas City wins by more than 20.5 points100%
Denver wins by more than 5.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 4.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 6.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 14.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 10.5 points0%
Denver wins by more than 7.5 points0%
Kansas City wins by more than 14.5 pointsWon
Kansas City wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 6.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 16.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 17.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 20.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 10.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 7.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 2.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Kansas City wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 13.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 9.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 3.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 5.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 4.5 pointsLost
Denver wins by more than 1.5 pointsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the New York Jets win the 2026 Super Bowl?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk buy a major sports team before 2027?
KalshiKansas City vs Seattle
GeminiWhat team will win the 2026 ACC Football Conference Championship game?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill football ever come home this century?
Manifold MarketsRules
What will the point difference be?
- This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Kansas City in the entire NFL game between Denver and Kansas City scheduled for 2026-09-14 at 7:15 p.m. CT is above 14.5.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Kansas City's score minus Denver's score) for the specified game.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).
