Data quality warningStale dataNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Aug 22, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Up100%
UpWon
Rules
Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on August 21, 2026 at 8:25pm ET
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is greater than or equal to the price specified in the title on August 21, 2026 at 8:25pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
- Settlement oracle: Kaiko (GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S).
