Data quality warningStale dataNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Up0%
No100%
NoWon
UpLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on August 25, 2026 at 12:05am ET
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is greater than or equal to the price specified in the title on August 25, 2026 at 12:05am ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
- Settlement oracle: Kaiko (GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S).
