Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 8:17 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$78,250 or above 94%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.2K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleSep 7, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
$78,250 or above94%
$78,500 or above61%
$78,750 or above17.5%
$79,000 or above2.5%
$79,250 or above9.5%
$79,500 or above6.5%
$79,750 or above3.5%
$77,750 or above97.5%
$78,000 or above93.5%
$80,000 or above3%
94%
94%
87%
61%
20%
17.5%
6%
4%
4%
2.5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on September 8, 2026 at 5pm ET
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $78,250 or above on September 8, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $77,750 or above on September 8, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.