Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
$75,000 or above 75.5%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingSep 11, 26, 9:30 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on September 18, 2026 at 5pm ET
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $75,000 or above on September 18, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior.
- Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
- If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $75,500 or above on September 18, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Bitcoin price on September 18? · 76,000-78,000 23%