Current implied probability
New York Y 37.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
New York Y 37.1%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 30, 26, 12:00 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will be ahead after the first 3 innings?
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome has more runs than Boston after the first 3 innings of the MLB game between the named outcome and Boston scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.
- If the score is tied after the first 3 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 3 innings of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions__MLB_First_3_Inning_Leader_Classdocx_ae2887d6-cdf7-4e84-9b9e-9053391f4510.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for New York Y is 37%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference New York Y 37% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Boston vs New York Y: First 3 Innings · New York Y 37%
