Current implied probability
Chicago WS 96.5%
Chicago WS 96.5%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$107
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
94.0% / 99.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 9:00 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Trends
Chicago WS96.5%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Chicago WS vs Houston: First 7 Innings Moneyline
GeminiChicago WS vs Houston: First 5 Innings Total
KalshiChicago WS vs Houston: First 7 Innings
KalshiChicago WS vs Houston: First 5 Innings Point Spread
GeminiChicago WS vs Houston: First 5 Innings Point Total
GeminiSeptember 29 Chicago WS vs Houston
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Who will be ahead after the first 5 innings?
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome has more runs than Houston after the first 5 innings of the MLB game between the named outcome and Houston scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
- If the score is tied after the first 5 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 5 innings of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_First_5_Inning_Leader_ecb8bace-a5d1-4e40-81a6-889a1b79dceb.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Chicago WS vs Houston: First 5 Innings · Chicago WS 98%