Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 11:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
New York Y 44.3%Leader of 3 outcomes
New York Y 44.3%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 12:00 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Who will be ahead after the first 5 innings?
- This market resolves to Yes if the named outcome has more runs than Boston after the first 5 innings of the MLB game between the named outcome and Boston scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.
- If the score is tied after the first 5 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 5 innings of the specified sporting event.
- Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_-_MLB_First_5_Inning_Leader_ecb8bace-a5d1-4e40-81a6-889a1b79dceb.pdf).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Boston vs New York Y: First 5 Innings · New York Y 45%
