Current implied probability
New York City 50.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
New York City 50.8%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.4
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 11:30 PM UTCOct 29, 26, 11:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Atlanta vs New York City: Point Spread
GeminiAtlanta vs New York City: Total Goals
GeminiHighest temperature in New York City on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiNew York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner
KalshiNew York City Marathon Women's Open Division Winner
KalshiRules
Atlanta vs the named outcome
- If the named outcome wins the Major League Soccer match between the named outcome and Atlanta originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for New York City is 52%. The venue spread is about 4 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference New York City 52% · 2 venues · 4 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — New York City vs Atlanta · New York City 52%
