Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won it before?
SportsOne-OffSoccerFIFA World Cup11dFutuurCurrent implied probabilityYes 14%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$651.3
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes14%
Compare venues· No
Ordered by 24h volume
Also available on Manifold Markets
[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?
11d
14.9%
85.1%
Community forecast88 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$28.1K
24h Vol$2.3K
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Polymarket
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
1.0%11d
-0.0%14%
+0.0%87%
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$868.6K
24h Vol$58.4K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.