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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Latin America
  3. Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

0.5% (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffSportsSoccer1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 31%
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$15K

Liquidity

$98.1K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

30.0% / 32.0%

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 5, 26, 11:16 PMJul 20, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes31%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain.
  • If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
  • If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain.
  • If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.
  • If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.