ForecastExUnverified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 63%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$50
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes37%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurBest overall95% match · auto | Low | 77% | +54pt | $0 | $889 | 30 minutes ago | Open → |
| ForecastExThis page | Low | 63% | +40pt | $0 | $50 | 30 minutes ago |
Also available on Futuur
Will 2026 be the warmest year on record?
5mo
77%
23%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$21.9
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
Record Temperature December 2026.
- Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
Record Temperature December 2026.
- Will 2026 be the warmest year on record? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.