PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 04.09.2026, 04:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Jay Clayton 99%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
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24h-Volumen
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 44 Minuten
Trends
Regeln
Subsequent to the launch of this market on May 22, 2026, the next individual confirmed by the U.S. Senate to the role of Director of National Intelligence shall be the individual named in the contract.
Contracts naming additional individuals may be added to this market at any time prior to settlement.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: N/A
Contracts naming additional individuals may be added to this market at any time prior to settlement.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: N/A
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 782.095,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 181,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the next Senate-confirmed DNI??
- PredictIt bewertet Jay Clayton mit 99% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wie wird Who will be the next Senate-confirmed DNI? abgerechnet?
- PredictIt rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Subsequent to the launch of this market on May 22, 2026, the next individual confirmed by the U.S. Senate to the role of Director of National Intelligence shall be the individual named in the contract.<br /><br />Contracts naming additional individuals may be added to this market at any time prior to settlement.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: N/A