PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
38.8% to 39.0% 30%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
242,1 €
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
23. Sept. 26, 15:10 UTC30. Sept. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItTrump approval rating on September 25?
PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiTrump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/30/2026 11:00 AM (ET)