PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 82.2%-2.0pt
Ja 82.2%-2.0ptMarktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1782,9 €
Liquidität
884,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
78.0% / 87.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 22:44 UTC7. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Surigae makes landfall in Japan?
PolymarketHurricane Polo category?
KalshiHow strong will Hurricane Polo be?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that Polo (NHC designation EP172026) made landfall in Mexico as a hurricane, by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The landfall must occur by that deadline; confirmation may arrive afterward.
- If Polo makes landfall more than once, any one qualifying landfall resolves this market to "Yes".
- A report means an explicit statement, in a Tropical Cyclone Update, Public Advisory (including intermediate and special advisories), or Discussion issued for Hurricane Polo, that the center made landfall or moved onshore.
- Landfall occurs when the surface center intersects the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.