KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93%
Marktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
26.287,1 €
Liquidität
26.450,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
13. Aug. 26, 17:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii.
- Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i.
- It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 154.560,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 148.633,4 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 92.301 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 84.100,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 79.268,4 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? entschieden?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.