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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wissenschaft
  3. Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

5.5% (24h)One-OffWissenschaft1Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman 81%+14.5%
Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

146,8 €

Liquidität

5268,8 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

75.0% / 81.0%

Spread

8.0%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-5.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

6. Jan. 26, 19:0630. Juli 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Jacob Tsimerman81%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

11.1%6Mon
Yu Deng
Yu Deng
+11.1%55%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman
+6.2%76%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang
-8.7%83%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen564,3 €
24h-Volumen8,9 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.

Polymarket
  • It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
  • The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
  • If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Regeln

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.

Polymarket
  • It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
  • The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
  • If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.