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Entschieden: 26.10.2026, 06:13
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Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 23:56 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Trends
Augusto CuryVerloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Flávio BolsonaroVerloren
Vor Schließung: 4% ·
Lula da SilvaVerloren
Vor Schließung: 1% ·
Renan SantosVerloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Romeu ZemaVerloren
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Ronaldo CaiadoVerloren
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the first individual that Donald Trump endorses for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement is defined as a statement by Donald Trump that i) is made publicly (e.g., through a press release, an on-the-record interview, a speech, a campaign event, a post from a verified account on social media); ii) explicitly and unambiguously expresses unique support for an individual as a candidate for President of Brazil in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections; and iii) is characterized by a consensus of credible reporting as an official endorsement by Donald Trump of the individual for President in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.
- An endorsement of an individual for any party’s nomination to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections will not qualify.
- The following will not be considered endorsements: positive or favorable comments about a candidate without a clear public statement of direct support; conditional statements giving support only if certain conditions are met; statements equally expressing support for multiple candidates (e.g., “I support Flavio and Lula”); statements expressing opposition to a candidate without endorsing any candidate; private or non-public statements; and statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support.
- An endorsement of a ticket comprising a presidential candidate and a vice-presidential candidate constitutes a qualifying endorsement only of the individual endorsed for President.
- If the endorsement is of a ticket with undefined presidential and vice-presidential roles, or the roles on an endorsed ticket cannot be determined by the statement itself or a consensus of credible reporting, no qualifying endorsement will be deemed to have occurred.
