Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAlexandria Ocasio Cortez 47.9%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet21. Dez. 25, 00:19 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on Bernie Sanders' public endorsement for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.
- Resolution occurs on April 30, 2028 at 11:59 PM ET, or earlier.
- The market resolves to whichever answer matches Sanders' first public endorsement of a candidate in the 2028 Democratic primary, as reported by major news outlets.
- If Sanders makes no endorsement before the deadline, the market resolves to "the named outcome." An endorsement includes official statements, campaign appearances, or direct participation in campaign materials.
- If Sanders endorses multiple candidates, the market resolves based on his first endorsement chronologically.
