Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAlexandria Ocasio Cortez 29.3%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet21. Dez. 25, 00:19 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0.4%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWho will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on Bernie Sanders' public endorsement for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.
- Resolution occurs on April 30, 2028 at 11:59 PM ET, or earlier.
- The market resolves to whichever answer matches Sanders' first public endorsement of a candidate in the 2028 Democratic primary, as reported by major news outlets.
- If Sanders makes no endorsement before the deadline, the market resolves to "the named outcome." An endorsement includes official statements, campaign appearances, or direct participation in campaign materials.
- If Sanders endorses multiple candidates, the market resolves based on his first endorsement chronologically.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Alexandria Ocasio Cortez mit 29% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary? entschieden?
- Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria