Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert10. Juni 26, 05:06 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Bernie Sanders officially declares his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before Election Day, November 7, 2028.
- An official run requires at least one of the following:
- Filing a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- A formal, public announcement of his candidacy (e.g., via an official campaign launch video, press conference, or official press release).
- Forming an exploratory committee, being draft-campaigned by external organizations, or speculative media reporting will not suffice.
