Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
PSD 65%+0.2ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
17,2 €
Liquidität
9892,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
24.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
+16.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketParty of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketRegeln
The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.
- A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.