Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
9.5 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1J
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
J.D. Vance 30.3%-9.5ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
119,4 €
Liquidität
57.227,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+24.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 23:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegeln
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome Jr., the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".