KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 54%
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
139,2 €
Liquidität
4270,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 46.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
12. März 26, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will either Rubio or Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio run for President?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegeln
If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: JD Vance (2028RUNPARTY), Marco Rubio (2028RUNPARTY).
- All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2028.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Rubio and Vance run for President??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 54% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Rubio and Vance run for President? entschieden?
- Will Rubio and Vance run for President? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Rubio and Vance run for President? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will Rubio and Vance run for President? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf PredictIt gelistet.