KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 56%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3,9 €
Liquidität
3705,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 51.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
12. März 26, 14:001. Jan. 28, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes44%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 56% | +12pt | 3,9 € | 3705,8 € | vor 12 Minuten | |
 PredictIt85% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 55% | +11pt | — | — | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Will Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
1J
55%
45%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegeln
If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: JD Vance (2028RUNPARTY), Marco Rubio (2028RUNPARTY).
- All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2028.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$43. Juli14T Daten26. Juli
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POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If JD Vance and Marco Rubio both announce presidential campaigns to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: JD Vance (2028RUNPARTY), Marco Rubio (2028RUNPARTY).
- All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2028.