PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Entschieden: 13.10.2026, 16:05
Wartet auf verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm wartet auf eine vom Anbieter bestätigte Auflösung, bevor dieser Markt als aufgelöst behandelt wird.
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
America First39%
Karoline / Leavitt80%
President / Trump 30+ times83%
-No Qualifying Event-1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Go Ahead0%
Hormuz0%
Iran 5+ times0%
Legacy Media21%
Nuclear 2+ times48%
Russia / Ukraine0%
SI / Super Intelligence0%
Save America0%
Transgender0%
Truth Social0%
America FirstGewonnen
Karoline / LeavittGewonnen
President / Trump 30+ timesGewonnen
-No Qualifying Event-Verloren
AI / Artificial IntelligenceVerloren
Go AheadVerloren
HormuzVerloren
Iran 5+ timesVerloren
Legacy MediaVerloren
Nuclear 2+ timesVerloren
Russia / UkraineVerloren
SI / Super IntelligenceVerloren
Save AmericaVerloren
TransgenderVerloren
Truth SocialVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the White House announce an end to its press ban?
KalshiWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWhite House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- If no such press briefing happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/).
- Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant.
- Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.