PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92.1%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9788,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
27. Mai 26, 16:45 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Gianni Infantino announces he is out as FIFA President before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for President of Brazil?
KalshiWill Donald Trump file to run for President for a third time?
FutuurWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President.
- Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.