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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

2.0% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 8%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

61 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

14.816,8 €

Liquidität

16.883 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

7.0% / 9.0%

Spread

28.6%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten

5. Nov. 25, 17:5731. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes8%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
  • Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
  • Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
  • Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the U.S.
  • Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.