U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitikRussia / UkraineMiddle East3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%+0.1pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
11.733,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.2% / 6.7%
Spread
2.5 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+1.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 17:51 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
- Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
