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  3. US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

9.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffKIUS Politics16T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30
June 30 42%+9.0%
Marktqualitat

36 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

365,9 €

Liquidität

1092,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

33.0% / 50.0%

Spread

51.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

14. Juni 26, 0:361. Juli 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 3042%

Regeln

On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals.
  • A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals.
  • Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.

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Regeln

On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals.
  • A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals.
  • Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.