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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Geopolitik
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

0.3% (24h)One-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 1%
Marktqualitat

89 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

47.875,8 €

Liquidität

24.749,5 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.4% / 1.5%

Spread

7.1%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.8%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

17. Dez. 25, 22:5430. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes1%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).