PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2027 22%+2.0pt
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,3 €
Liquidität
8415,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 24.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 14:17 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PolymarketGreece x Turkey military engagement by which date?
PolymarketWill Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur: - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner; - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or - the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
- Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
- Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
