PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 2%
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
386,7 €
Liquidität
25.221,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.6% / 1.7%
Spread
6.3%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
22. Dez. 25, 20:1430. Juni 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes2%
Verwandte Märkte
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4,5 Mio. €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
1,2 Mio. €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
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Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
861.796,3 €June 30: 31%POLYMARKET
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Will the US attack Cuba in the next 30 days?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4587,9 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
1856,7 €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military engagement between the military forces of Greece and Turkey by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military engagement" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Greek and Turkish military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution; however, minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Missiles or drone strikes that are intercepted will not qualify, regardless of whether they land on adversarial territory or cause damage.