PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
38.5–38.9 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
38.5–38.9 47%Führend unter 6 Optionen
38.5–38.9 47%Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2515,6 €
Liquidität
7399,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
1009,6 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
38.5–38.9Spread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
30. Okt. 26, 14:32 UTC7. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · 38.5–38.9
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump approval rating at least ___ on November 6?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/30-11/6)
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date.
- Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below.
- Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
- Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026? · Above 39.0 29%