Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
<105 55.7%+17.0ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2368,2 €
Liquidität
83.150,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+45.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 13:27 UTC13. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
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KalshiRegeln
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
- Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S).
- Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
- If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.