Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
16-18% 41%-6.0ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.401,7 €
Liquidität
97.826,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
-5.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
13. Aug. 26, 09:43 UTC13. Sept. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: C Vote Share?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
PolymarketSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWill nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.