Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026
5.5 Pkt. (24h)Latin AmericaOne-OffWeather5T
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Colorado 99%+5.5ptFührend unter 40 Optionen
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
7296 €
Liquidität
4725,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
9.6 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 13:00 UTC1. Okt. 26, 13:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 29, 2026?
PolymarketPeak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
PolymarketNew York J: To Break Playoff Drought
KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for September: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Offene Märkte
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.8pt55%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+1.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 358.291,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt75%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.1pt25%
- Tarcisio de Freitas0%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNew Mexico vs. New Mexico State
- New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: O/U 34.5 — Over85%
- New Mexico-1.0pt80%
- Spread: New Mexico (-1.5)+1.0pt79%
+211 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIMexico vs Colombia
- Mexico38.6%
- Colombia34.6%
- Tie-2.0pt26.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.309,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Flávio Bolsonaro-1.0pt53.9%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva43.1%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt1%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAustralia vs. Brazil - More Markets
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)97%
- Australia vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 0.5 — Over93%
- Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 0.5 — Over+29.0pt80%
+57 weitere Ergebnisse
- USA vs Peru
- New Mexico vs New Mexico St.: Spread
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
- Ceará Governor Election Winner
- María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet Colorado mit 99% (Stand: 25. September 2026).
- Wann wird Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 entschieden?
- Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 29, 2026.