Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
Latin AmericaOne-OffWeather7Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
20% to 39.99% 34%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
17,5 €
Liquidität
7441,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+5.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
8. Sept. 26, 20:33 UTC1. Mai 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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FutuurRegeln
This market resolves based on the highest monthly S2+ drought area percentage recorded for the state of Minas Gerais across the 2026/27 coffee growing season.
- For the purpose of this market, the "2026/27 coffee growing season" is defined as the six-month window (September 2026 through February 2027) which corresponds to the flowering and bean-development period for arabica coffee in Minas Gerais.
- This is the crop-development period for the coffee harvested in 2027, and is distinct from the 2026 harvest (typically May–September 2026) and the subsequent shipping and marketing period for that crop.
- This label is descriptive only; resolution depends solely on the calendar months stated above.
- For each month in the window, the S2+ drought area percentage is the percentage of the total area of the state of Minas Gerais classified at S2 (Seca Grave) or a more severe category.
- This is the value shown in the "S2–S4" column of ANA's "Área Acumulada" (accumulated area) tabular view for Minas Gerais, in the official tabular data published by the Agência Nacional de Águas e Saneamento Básico (ANA).
