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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Central Banks
  3. South African Reserve Bank decision in July?
South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

30.5% (24h)One-OffCentral BanksMacro & Economy1Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
25 bps hike
25 bps hike 61%+23.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

74,8 €

Liquidität

1022,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 8.0%

Spread

33.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-6.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

28. Mai 26, 18:3923. Juli 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

25 bps hike61%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

1.0%1Mon
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
+1.0%3%
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps
1%
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
26%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen18,8 €
24h-Volumen0,7 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Verwandte Märkte

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

653,6 €
No Change: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

210,3 €
No Change: 80%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in June

European Central Bank rate decision in June

149,1 €
Cut 1-25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

21,7 €
Increase: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of England rate decision in June

Bank of England rate decision in June

0,5 €
Maintain current rate: 94%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,706.14+2.55%EthereumETH$1,651.68+1.95%SolanaSOL$65.19+1.82%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.00%XRPXRP$1.12+0.52%BNBBNB$595.66+1.88%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 23, 2026, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).