Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
4.5 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikCentral BanksEuropeMacro & Economy3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 69.3%-4.5pt
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
258,1 €
Liquidität
781 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
30.0% / 31.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
5
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
24. Feb. 26, 01:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
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Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
Manifold MarketsLisa Cook departure announced?
KalshiECB Interest Rates: September 2026
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.