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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Central Banks
  3. South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

1.0% (24h)One-OffCentral BanksMacro & Economy1Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps 3%+1.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,7 €

Liquidität

15,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

2. Juni 26, 17:0023. Juli 26, 12:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Hike more than 25bps
Hike more than 25bps
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Cut 1-25bps3%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

8.0%1Mon
25 bps hike
25 bps hike
+26.5%66%
50+ bps hike
50+ bps hike
-0.5%43%
50+ bps cut
50+ bps cut
-1.0%34%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1162,7 €
24h-Volumen74,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Verwandte Märkte

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

653,6 €
No Change: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

210,3 €
No Change: 80%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in June

European Central Bank rate decision in June

136,2 €
Cut 1-25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in June

Bank of England rate decision in June

0,5 €
Maintain current rate: 94%KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

0,1 €
Before Jan 2027: 15%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Regeln

If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the July 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).