KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitCut more than 25bps 1%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
578,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 64.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
22. Juli 26, 20:4523. Sept. 26, 12:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Cut more than 25bps1%
Plattformen vergleichen· Hike 1-25bps
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 56% | — | 0 € | 578,4 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Polymarket86% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 49% | — | 0 € | 523,8 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?
2.5%1Mon
-3.0%49%
-2.5%37%
+1.0%31%
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$20022. Juli4T Daten25. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
12.039,2 €No change: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Japan rate decision in July
9489,1 €Hike 25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in July
3570 €Cut 1-25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada Decision in September?
3553,3 €No Change: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August
1113,7 €Cut 25bps: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of India decision in August
1096,2 €No Change: 65%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).