Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
ADI 90%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
68,8 €
Liquidität
62.221,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 09:46 UTC27. Sept. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the second greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
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- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket bewertet ADI mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place entschieden?
- São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place soll am 27. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.