Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
LPV 45.1%-4.5ptFührend unter 14 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1553 €
Liquidität
77.618,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+31.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
5. Aug. 26, 11:47 UTC3. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiIsraeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
- The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations.
- This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket bewertet LPV mit 45% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place entschieden?
- Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place soll am 3. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.