PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (100%)
Entschieden: 09.05.2026, 19:45
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Yes
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
32%
ÜberraschungAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 100%+0.7pt
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
27,1 Mio. €
Liquidität
2,4 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+90.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 79 Tagen
Veraltet13. Jan. 26, 19:2430. Juni 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 27,1 Mio. € | 2,4 Mio. € | vor 79 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets84% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 3% | — | — | — | vor 28 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Nein (97.5%)
97.5%
2.5%
Community-Prognose32 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.