PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrat 98%-0.6ptFührend unter 13 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
38.805 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.1 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
1
7d-Änderung
-0.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
13. Okt. 25, 21:353. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
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Regeln
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz Jeff Merkley 98% · 2 Plattformen · 0 Pkt.-Band
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Oregon Senate winner? · Jeff Merkley 97%
- Auch verfügbar auf Gemini — Oregon US Senate Winner · Jeff Merkley 95%
- Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets — Oregon Senate Election Winner · Democrat 97%
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 160,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 845.369 €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 50,3 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Oregon Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket bewertet Democrat mit 98% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Oregon Senate Election Winner entschieden?
- Oregon Senate Election Winner soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Oregon Senate Election Winner abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Wo wird Oregon Senate Election Winner außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi, Gemini, Smarkets gelistet.