Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 21:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 89%+35.5pt
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4918,1 €
Liquidität
22.042,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
58.0% / 78.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+49.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet24. Juli 26, 23:191. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
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+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next UK by-election called by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 89% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next UK by-election called by which date? entschieden?
- Next UK by-election called by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next UK by-election called by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.