PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
December 31 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
December 31 66%
December 31 66%Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
73,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätOpen Interest
36,2 $
Geld / Brief
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December 31Spread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 20:35 UTC31. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · December 31
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Open Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an image model be better than GPT Image 2?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release an image model before 2029?
Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Image model (2.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT Image" and be designated as version 2.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 2.6 or higher named in the same manner as GPT Image 2 or GPT Image 2.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT Image 3, while models whose name does not include "GPT Image" or which retain a version designation of 2.5 or below, such as GPT Image 2.5 (released September 8, 2026), including its Flare and Sunburst variants, GPT Image 2, or DALL-E 3, will not qualify.
- Size, speed, or cost variants of any existing version, such as mini or turbo variants, and application or product version launches without a new qualifying underlying model, such as a "ChatGPT Images 3.0" product update, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
