Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
10 27.4%+1.0ptFührend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
18,9 €
Liquidität
26.130,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 09:12 UTC12. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- The National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) has never had a political group in the French Senate.
- A political group in the Senate requires a minimum of ten senators.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by a political group representing the RN as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).