Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
59-61 35.3%Führend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
24.020,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 19:52 UTC12. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to the number of French Senate seats held by the Groupe Union Centriste as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST.
- The seat count will be the group's total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as the Groupe Union Centriste if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes "Union Centriste" or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the Groupe Union Centriste, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election??
- Polymarket bewertet 59-61 mit 35% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? entschieden?
- Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? soll am 12. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.